Is there a difference between democracy and true democracy? Can a country embrace democracy and yet be unable to reap its beautiful rewards? Is democracy easier said than done?
James Madison (fourth President of the USA) once stated that “A popular government without popular information or the means of acquiring it is but a prologue to a farce or a tragedy, or perhaps both”.
I have always believed that popularity can win seats in major elections, but it can never guarantee a true democracy. Democracy will not work (will not be a TRUE democracy) unless its citizens (the very people who made a government popular) are sufficiently prepared for it with knowledge and reason! Case in point is Hitler, and is worth remembering that he was elected by a democratic vote the consequences of which was the sufferings on the very people who elected him (due to the unacceptable degree of ignorance and lack of political education).
To understand this, you have to read the works of Plato, in The Republic! For those who might not know, Plato is one of the most remarkable philosophers to have ever lived, and will always be remembered with likes of Socrates (his teacher) and Aristotle (his student).
Democratic self-government does not work, according to Plato, because ordinary people have not learned how to run the ship of state. They are not familiar enough with such things as economics, military strategy, conditions in other countries, or the confusing intricacies of law and ethics. In their ignorance they tend to vote for politicians who mesmerize them with appearances and hazy talk, and they inevitably find themselves at the mercy of administrations and conditions over which they have no control because they do not understand what is happening around them (hence the consequences of Hitler era).
Plato’s argument against democracy did come as a mathematical equation (afterall he was a mathematician too!). His argument is based on one fundamental premise: Ruling is a SKILL (thus it is rational to always leave the exercise of skills to EXPERTS).
DEMOCRACY = PEOPLE RULING
But people are NEVER experts, thus DEMOCRACY IS IRRATIONAL.
Reading this, time and time again, my initial reaction was to obviously reject this theory. Since it is rather obvious that people elect their representatives (who have sufficient skills) to run a state. This same statement sorta supports Plato as he firmly believes that in a TRUE democracy, its people must be PREPARED for it with KNOWLEDGE and REASON. Further reading on this subject matter lead me to a very interesting fact! A fact which supported Plato’s views.
18th Century French Philosopher and Mathematician Condocert, in his explanation of probabilities had given just the answer that Plato must have implied in his philosophy. Plato himself was a mathematician too, and I bet this was no coincidence!
Here’s a simple illustration. If we have a voting body of 1000 individuals, each member of which is RIGHT on average 51% of the time, what is the probability in any particular instance that a 51% majority has the right answer? Well I aint no mathematician, and I don’t even intend on deriving the answer, I’ll just state this rather interesting fact. That probability is 69%. Meaning as a whole, the group of 1000 will get the RIGHT answer 69% of the time! If we raise total numbers voted to 10,000 then the probability of the group to get the RIGHT answer is an amazing 99.97%.
How it supports Plato is simply with the contrasting of “getting the right answer (in the above example)” with having majority of people prepared with “knowledge & reason” for a true democracy to prevail.
If the average competence of the group falls below 50%, then we are in danger that the above argument put forward by Condocert would reverse. If the argument is implied to be TRUE DEMOCRACY, then the reverse obviously would give way for COMMUNISM!
With that, I rest my case!
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